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National Press Release
![]() | Polk Predicts Global Light Vehicle Sales Will Drop 13 Percent in 2009Published 2009-02-10 09:00By R. L. Polk & Co. |


After experiencing a 17 percent decline in 2008, U.S. light vehicle sales
are expected to decrease by another 19 percent in 2009. Polk's U.S. light
vehicle sales forecast is estimated at 10.7 million units for 2009; split
between 8.5 million units for consumer retail and 2.2 million units for the
fleet market.
"As domestic automakers are hard at work on their respective turn-around plans, they have to estimate overall industry volume, individual market shares, and vehicle mix to project their revenue potential and align their global cost structure," said Lionel Yron, director of Consulting & Analytics at Polk. "With the inability to use rising home prices to generate liquidity and tighter lending rules, Polk sees the U.S. market stabilizing around 16 million units within 3 to 5 years depending on the efficiency of the government stimulus package," continued Yron.
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